Launching RiskAlpha — From Excel Chaos to Clarity

Today marks the launch of RiskAlpha as an MVP — the first milestone of something I originally built for myself.

For more than a decade of trading, I relied on dozens of Excel files just to keep track of data, indicators, and cycles. It was messy, slow, and hard to maintain. But I knew there had to be something between Excel and a Bloomberg Terminal:
a tool that offers clarity, simplicity, and solid Bayesian statistics with simple data.

That missing piece became RiskAlpha.

🔄 A Decade of Cycles

My trading journey started in 2013. Back then, I believed in perfect timing, chart patterns, and quick wins. But after years of trial and error, I realized that the business cycle is the real foundation.

Cycles don’t reveal themselves in days or weeks. They take months or even years to fully play out.
That’s why these insights come so slowly: you have to live through bull markets, crises, recoveries, and everything in between to understand how the pieces fit.

🌍 Why RiskAlpha Exists

Markets today are more complex than ever:

• AI, robotics, and quantum technology reshaping industries.
• Political cycles and elections moving global narratives.
• Diverging economies across regions.
• Trade dynamics shifting with import/export flows.
• Resource scarcity and innovation changing entire sectors.

To make good decisions, traders and investors need a data-driven model — not as the only truth, but as the base layer of clarity.
That’s what RiskAlpha delivers: statistical forecasts, macro indicators, and clear insights for a 3–6 month horizon.

🚀 What’s Next

The MVP is just the beginning. In the future, RiskAlpha will include:

• AI scoring systems that weigh in with your own models.
• Automated reports combining different perspectives.
• An even more precise way to build your own “view” on the market.

Because in the end, that’s all you really have: your view, your conviction, and the decision to put your money where your mouth is.

💡 This is just the first milestone. RiskAlpha was built to give traders clarity where there used to be noise. And I can’t wait to see what comes next.